Scilex Holding Stock Performance
| SCLX Stock | 8.31 0.05 0.61% |
The entity has a beta of 2.35, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Scilex Holding will likely underperform. At this point, Scilex Holding has a negative expected return of -1.07%. Please make sure to validate Scilex Holding's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Scilex Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Scilex Holding has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.61 | Five Day Return (3.48) | Year To Date Return (36.52) | Ten Year Return (97.59) | All Time Return (97.59) |
Last Split Factor 1:35 | Last Split Date 2025-04-15 |
1 | Datavault AI Announces Closing of the Second Tranche of Scilex Holding Companys Previously Announced Equity Financing | 11/26/2025 |
2 | Scilex Holding Companys top owners are retail investors with 57 percent stake, while 24 percent is held by private companies | 12/08/2025 |
3 | Retail investors invested in Scilex Holding Company copped the brunt of last weeks US12m market cap decline | 12/17/2025 |
4 | Scilex Closes First Tranche of 50 Million Financing - TipRanks | 12/22/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 3689016 shares by Scilex Holding Co of Scilex Holding at 0.7509 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 7310984 shares by Scilex Holding Co of Scilex Holding at 0.6555 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/29/2025 |
7 | Scilex Holding Company Appoints Kasowitz LLP as Litigation and Intellectual Property Counsel | 01/02/2026 |
8 | Scilex Holding Signs Multiple Financing Agreements With Q Scan - TradingView | 02/02/2026 |
9 | AI firm Datavault projects 1,000 percent revenue surge and 200M in 2026 - stocktitan.net | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -2.7 M |
Scilex Holding Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,718 in Scilex Holding on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (887.00) from holding Scilex Holding or give up 51.63% of portfolio value over 90 days. Scilex Holding is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.2766% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 47% of stocks are less volatile than Scilex, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Scilex Holding Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Scilex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 8.31 | 90 days | 8.31 | about 92.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scilex Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.21 (This Scilex Holding probability density function shows the probability of Scilex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Scilex Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Scilex Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scilex Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scilex Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scilex Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scilex Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scilex Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scilex Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Scilex Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scilex Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scilex Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Scilex Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scilex Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Scilex Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 56.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.68 M. | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AI firm Datavault projects 1,000 percent revenue surge and 200M in 2026 - stocktitan.net |
Scilex Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scilex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scilex Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scilex Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Scilex Holding Fundamentals Growth
Scilex Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Scilex Holding, and Scilex Holding fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Scilex Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | -0.87 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (17.66) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 109.43 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 7.03 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 28.85 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.45 X | ||||
| Revenue | 56.59 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 27.68 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (66.8 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (72.81 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 37.96 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (29.75) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 19.35 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (40.46) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 58.44 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 92.95 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (563.05 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (218.09 M) | ||||
About Scilex Holding Performance
Evaluating Scilex Holding's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Scilex Holding has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Scilex Holding has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 61.27 | 58.21 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (1.39) | (1.46) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.45 | 0.47 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.90) | (0.95) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.34 | 0.18 |
Things to note about Scilex Holding performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Scilex Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Scilex Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Scilex Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Scilex Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Scilex Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 56.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.68 M. | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AI firm Datavault projects 1,000 percent revenue surge and 200M in 2026 - stocktitan.net |
- Analyzing Scilex Holding's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Scilex Holding's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Scilex Holding's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Scilex Holding's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Scilex Holding's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Scilex Holding's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Scilex Holding's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Scilex Stock Analysis
When running Scilex Holding's price analysis, check to measure Scilex Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scilex Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Scilex Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scilex Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scilex Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scilex Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.